Rory's Racing Rundown: 19/08/2017
Another week, another bunch of hopeful tips. I am concentrating on Newbury’s card this week and trying to get some winners. It looks a good card with some Group Level action. There is also one selection from Ripon. With no further delay, here are Saturday’s selections.
Librisa set to Breeze past rivals in Hungerford Stakes
I believe the Dean Ivory trained five-year-old will be very difficult to beat on Saturday provided he doesn’t hit the trouble in running he has been experiencing lately. He certainly has the class to take Saturday’s Group Two feature but will need more luck than last time out.
He experienced a terrible passage through in the Lennox Stakes at Goodwood and finished an eased down ninth. He certainly would have finished much closer and looks to gain compensation here. That races winner Breton Rock re-opposes on Saturday but is three pounds worse off at the weights. These two factors lead me to believe Librisa Breeze will reverse the form on Saturday.
On his first start this season he finished an extremely credible fourth in the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot. Whilst that was over six furlongs the extra furlong on Saturday will pose no problems for this former seven furlong winner.
The grey is currently trading at a top priced 11/4 and is well worth a bet at those odds. Expect him to fly home late so be ready to watch with bated breath.
Defoe to continue his roll and score again at Newbury
Defoe comes into Saturday’s race off the back of three straight wins as a three-year-old and I’m backing him to extend this run. He is currently 9/4 second favourite and I believe there is still progression to come.
He receives the three-year-old weight allowance over the majority of his rivals and this is one major factor why I am putting my faith in him. He is officially rated seven pounds inferior to favourite Frontiersman but gets nine pounds off him as a three-year-old.
He steps up to this distance for the first time on Saturday but it should pose no problems for the Dalakhani offspring. I see him as live outsider for the St Ledger at the end of the season and this could act as a stepping stone to that race.
Kachy set to exploit dropping handicap mark
Kachy could certainly seem to be a big price in the Ripon 3:15 on Saturday. He is dropping into a handicap with a reducing mark. He runs off 107 on Saturday with a career high mark of 112. As only a four-year-old he is horse that is more than capable of defying this mark.
If you look back into his from he has ran credible in numerous good races. For example, he was second in last season Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot over Saturday’s trip of six furlongs. An appearance anywhere near this on Saturday would give him a great chance. Even this season he has been competing in Group One and Group Two level races.
This is a significant drop in class and at 14/1 I more than happy to wager some money on him.
Newbury 2.25 Defoe 9/4
Newbury 3.35 Librisa Breeze 11/4
Ripon 3.15 Kachy 14/1